– Model Evaluation
All plots preliminary.
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Re. Twentieth Century Reanalysis Data possible trends
Re. Model Evaluation, Analysis
Preliminary Climate of the 20th Century Project
APA model runs here for comparison.Other models here for comparison.
Unless stated otherwise, assume Ensemble Means
Time Series plots at bottom of page
Temperature plots below precip
ENSO-related plots near bottomSurface Temperature and Z500: All-Hist compared with Nat-Hist
Precipitation
Decadal Means compared with 1960s:
Decadal differences All-Hist minus Nat-Hist
normal from Nat-Hist (All-Hist minus Nat-Hist):
Temperature
Decadal Means compared with 1960s:
Decadal differences All-Hist minus Nat-Hist:
ENSO Impacts on long term seasonal mean U.S. precipitation:
For comparison, observational precipitation data:
Ensemble average 1959-2014 (50 members):
normal from All-Hist (all data from All-Hist):
normal from Nat-Hist (all data from Nat-Hist):