Lesley L. Smith

Position
Research Associate
Division
Attribution and Predictability Assessments Team
Affiliation
All plots preliminary. Right click to see bigger versions.
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El Nino Rapid Response GFS Data
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All divergent wind speeds on this page involve calculations with the divergent wind speed computed first.
Divergent Wind Speed: 200 cases of 19 random 'precampaign' days 20151201-20160215
Upper Decile mean GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast
Lower Decile mean GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast
Divergent Wind Speed: 200 cases of 19 random 'precampaign' days 20151201-20160215
Upper Decile root mean square GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast
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Divergent Wind Speed all 'precampaign' days 20151201-20160215
mean
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast
GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast
GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast
GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast
GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast
GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast
GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast
Divergent Wind Speed all 'precampaign' days 20151201-20160215
root mean square
GFS 0Z 0h Forecast minus 18Z 6h Forecast
GFS 0Z 3h Forecast minus 18Z 9h Forecast
GFS 0Z 6h Forecast minus 18Z 12h Forecast
GFS 0Z 12h Forecast minus 18Z 18h Forecast
GFS 0Z 24h Forecast minus 18Z 30h Forecast
GFS 0Z 36h Forecast minus 18Z 42h Forecast
GFS 0Z 48h Forecast minus 18Z 54h Forecast
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