Lesley L. Smith – Re. Wildland Fire Potential

All plots preliminary.        

Fire Weather and Vapor Pressure Deficit Prediction    

Preliminary ML Results f_2_huber_model_output_b8_e_30_d3_lneg4

As of May 7, 2025

Probabilities of exceeding the ERA5 2000-2019 High Terciles

Re. checking the probability results for week0 2007: ML VPD -- ERA5 High Tercile for all 11 ensemble members

Ensemble Averages

Differences

Individual Ensemble Members

Differences