Lesley L. Smith – El Nino 2016
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Winter El Nino Model Dynamics
ENSO's effect on U.S. weather
Older plots including average and variance DJF Z500 from CAM here.------------------------------------------------------------------
Analyses of Xiao-Wei CAM and related Data
2.5 to 6-day filtered data polar stereographic plots at bottom
NAO from Control Climatology Z500:
Time-series projections on Control Climatology NAO:
Following plots created from seasonal DJF data (1 per year):
Following plots created from monthly DJF data (3 per year):
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Following plots created from daily DJF data (90 per year):
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2.5 to 6-day filtered data polar stereographic plots
Reanalyses:
ERA-Interim data:
ERA-Interim differences:
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NCEP1 data:
NCEP differences:
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Control Run from CAM:
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Averages for all the various cases:
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Comparing different runs:
Comparing to Control runs:
where contour lines above are climatology from Control Run.
where contour lines above are E16rTrop.
where contour lines are for ETPac cases.
where stippling indicates 95% from t-test.
Xiao-Wei CAM E2015r ETPac case
CAM DJF Precipitation
Differences wrt to AMIP 1981-2010 CAM:
DJF mean precipitation:
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root mean square DJF Z500 from Xiao-Wei CAM ETPac case
Differences:
where contour lines are E16r case.
where stippling indicates 95% from t-test
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Xiao-Wei CAM E2015r case
CAM DJF Precipitation
Differences wrt to AMIP 1981-2010 CAM:
DJF mean precipitation:
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root mean square DJF Z500 from Xiao-Wei CAM
Differences:
where contour lines are E16r case.
same plots with 95% stippling (from t-test):
averaging over rms for 4 different cases:
All runs 'Global SST' CAM skipping first 11 months:
All runs Standard AMIP CAM
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AMIP individual years
DJF mean precipitation: