Caribbean Index SST Anomaly Forecasts

Experimental NOAA PSL and CU CIRES forecasts in Global Tropics Domain.

Tables (Missing values indicated by -999.000)
Verification History
Forecasts, Lead = 3 months
Forecasts, Lead = 6 months
Forecasts, Lead = 9 months
Forecasts, Lead = 12 months
line charts of Caribbean Lead Times, 3mo, 6mo, 9mo and 12mo
Predictions of Caribbean Index SSTA (red solid line) and verification (blue solid line). Dashed lines indicate one standard deviation confidence intervals appropriate to the LIM forecast.
Line chart: time series of standardized forecast errors
Time series of actual forecast errors normalized by one standard deviation of the expected forecast uncertainty given a perfect model. Blue line: Lead = 3 months. Red line: Lead = 6 months. Black line: Lead = 9 months. Yellow line: Lead = 12 months.Given the dynamical assumptions of the prediction model, forecast errors are Gaussian, and the horizontal lines indicate 95% confidence interval.


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LIM SST Anomalies Forecast data provided by the NOAA Physical Science Laboratory and CIRES CU, Boulder, Colorado, from their website at