- Capotondi, A., T. Xu, M. Newman,
E. DiLorenzo, and D. Vimont, 2026: A coupled North Pacific–Central Tropical Pacific decadal mode shapes basin
variability and Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves. Submitted to Commun. Earth Environ..
- Amaya, D., H.-H. Wei, M. Newman, J. Barsugli, and S. Yeager, 2026: Seasonal Precipitation Skill in Current Climate Forecast Models is Due to
Initial Tropical Conditions Alone. Submitted to
J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol.
- Schlör, J., M. Newman, J. Thuemmel, A. Capotondi, and B. Goswami, 2026: A Hybrid Deep-Learning Model for El Niño Southern Oscillation in the Low-Data
Regime. Submitted to npj Clim. Atmos. Sci..
- Shin, S.-I., C. Penland, M. Newman, and M.A. Alexander, 2026: Estimating Global and Regional Sea Level Trends within the Recent Climate Record. Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett.
- Xu, T., M. Newman, S.-I. Shin, A. Capotondi, D. Vimont,
M. Alexander, and E. DiLorenzo, 2026: Persistent Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves are sensitive to the seasonality of
tropical and North Pacific dynamics. Commun. Earth Environ., in press, doi: 10.1038/s43247-026-03442-x.
- Anderson, W., M. C. Arcodia, D. Amaya, E. Becker,
J. A. Calahan. J. C. Furtado, B. Kirtman, S. Kumar, M. L. L'Heureux,
D. Li, S. M. Larson, M. J. Molina, M. Newman, K. Pegion,
A. Robertson, E. Towler, and B. Xiang, 2026: The Critical
Need for Hindcast Infrastructure in Climate Science and Sectoral
Applications. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 107, E615–E627, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0311.1.
- Wills, R. C. J., et al., 2026: Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP). J. Climate, 39, 1927–1953, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1.
- Song, S.-Y., S. Stevenson, E. DiLorenzo, M. Newman, A. Capotondi, and N. Schneider, 2026: North Pacific Model Biases Influence Kuroshio Extension Atmospheric Circulation Patterns. Geophys. Res. Lett., 53, e2025GL118765, doi: 10.1029/2025GL118765.
- Landsburg, J. B., M. Newman, and E. A. Barnes, 2026: AI-informed model-analogs for understanding subseasonal-to-seasonal jet stream and North American temperature predictability. Mach. Learn.: Earth, 2, 015007, doi: 10.1088/3049-4753/ae4805.
- Wu, S., E. DiLorenzo, Y. Zhao, M. Newman, Z. Liu, A. Capotondi, D. Sun, S. Stevenson, and Y. Liu, 2026: Decomposition of Pacific Decadal Oscillation using linear inverse models sheds light on its dominant modes and future response. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 9, 43, doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-01315-2.
- Marsico, D. H., J. R. Albers, M. Newman, M. Gehne, J. Dias,
G. N. Kiladis, E. LaJoie, and Y. Wang, 2026: Modal Interference
Drives Madden-Julian Oscillation Evolution and Predictability.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 53, e2025GL118062, doi: 10.1029/2025GL118062.
- Martinez-Villalobos, C., A. Capotondi, C. Deser, B. Dewitte, N. J. Holbrook, M. Newman, C. Penland, D. J. Vimont, and A. J. Wittenberg, 2025: A low-order data-driven model of ENSO diversity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 52, e2025GL118649, doi: 10.1029/2025GL118649.
- Lorenzo-Sanchez, P., M. Newman, J. Albers, A. Subramanian, and A. Navarra, 2025: Koopman Theory for Enhanced Pacific SST forecasting. Artif. Intell. Earth Syst., 4, e240088, DOI: 10.1175/AIES-D-24-0088.1.
- Xing, C., S. Stevenson, E. DiLorenzo, M. Newman, A. Capotondi,
J.T. Fasullo, and N. Maher, 2025: Apparent Changes in Pacific
Decadal Variability Caused by Anthropogenically-Induced Mean State
Modulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 52, e2025GL116499, DOI: 10.1029/2025GL116499.
- Hovenga, P., M. Newman, J. R. Albers, W. Sweet, G. Dusek, T. Xu,
J. Callahan, S.-I. Shin, and G. P. Compo, 2025: Using
Stochastically Generated Skewed Distributions to Represent Hourly
Nontidal Residual Water Levels at United States Tide
Gauges. Front. Mar. Sci., 12:1618367, DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2025.1618367.
- Albers, J. R., M. Newman, M. A. Balmeseda, W. Sweet, Y. Wang,
and T. Xu, 2025: Assessing
Subseasonal Forecast Skill for Use in Predicting US Coastal
Inundation Risk. Ocean Science, 21, 1761-1785, DOI: 10.5194/os-21-1761-2025.
- Kuo, Y.-N., F. Lehner, I.R. Simpson. C. Deser, A.S. Phillips,
M. Newman, S.-I. Shin, S. Wong, and J. Arblaster, 2025: Recent Southwestern U.S. drought
influenced by anthropogenic aerosols and tropical ocean
warming. Nat. Geosci, DOI: 10.1038/s41561-025-01728-x.
- Toride, K., M. Newman, A. Hoell, A. Capotondi, J. Schlor, and
D. Amaya, 2025: Using Deep
Learning to Identify Initial Error Sensitivity for Interpretable ENSO
Forecasts. Artif. Intell. Earth Syst., 4, e240045, https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-24-0045.1.
- Long. X., M. Newman, S.-I. Shin, M. Balmeseda, J. Callahan,
G. Dusek, L. Jia. B. Kirtman, J. Krasting, C.C. Lee, T. Lee, W. Sweet,
O. Wang, Y. Wang, and M.J. Widlansky, 2025: Evaluating Current
Statistical and Dynamical Forecasting Techniques for Seasonal Coastal
Sea Level Prediction. J. Climate, 38, 1477–1503, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0214.1.
- Amaya, D. J., N. Maher, C. Deser, M. G. Jacox, M. Alexander, M. Newman, J. Dias, and J. Lou, 2025: Linking projected changes in seasonal climate predictability and ENSO amplitude. J. Climate, 38, 675-688, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0648.1.
- Beverley, J., M. Newman, and A. Hoell, 2024: Climate
Model Trend Errors are Evident in Seasonal Forecasts at Short Leads.
npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 7, 285.
- Xu, T., M. Newman, M. Alexander, and A. Capotondi, 2024: Seasonal
Predictability of Bottom Temperatures along the North American West
Coast. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, doi: 10.1029/2023JC020504.
- Lenssen, N., P. DiNezio, L. Goddard, C. Deser, Y. Kushnir, S. Mason, M. Newman, and Y. Okumura, 2024: Strong El Nino events lead to robust multi-year ENSO predictability.Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2023GL106988.
- Wei, H.-H., M. Alexander, and M. Newman, 2024: Impact of Time Scales on North Pacific Surface Turbulent Heat Fluxes Driven by ENSO. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2023GL107009.
- Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi, and M. Alexander, 2024: A Forecast Test for Reducing Dynamical Dimensionality of Model Emulators. JAMES, 16, e2022MS003599, doi: 10.1029/2022MS003599.
- Seager, R., M. Ting, P. Alexander, H. Liu, J. Nakamura, C. Li, and M. Newman, 2023: Ocean-forcing of cool season precipitation drives ongoing and future decadal drought in southwestern North America. npj Climate and Atmos. Sci., 6, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00461-9.
- Zhao, Y., E. DiLorenzo, M. Newman, A. Capotondi, and
S. Stevenson, 2023: A
Pacific Tropical Decadal Variability Challenge for Climate
Models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2023GL104037, doi: 10.1029/2023GL104037.
- Stevenson, S., X. Huang, Y. Zhao, E. DiLorenzo, M. Newman, L. van Roekel, T. Xu, and A. Capotondi, 2023: Ensemble Spread Behavior in Coupled Climate Models: Insights from the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble. JAMES, 15, e2023MS003653, doi: 10.1029/2023MS003653.
- Lou, J., M. Newman, and A. Hoell, 2023: Multi-decadal variation of ENSO forecast skill since the late 1800s. npj Climate and Atmos. Sci., 6, 89, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00417-z.
- Beverley, J., M. Newman, and A. Hoell, 2023: Rapid development of systematic ENSO-related seasonal forecast errors. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2022GL102249, doi: 10.1029/2022GL102249.
- Kumar, S., C. Dewes, M. Newman, and Y. Duan, 2023: Robust Changes in North America’s Hydroclimate Variability and Predictability. Earth's Future, 11, e2022EF003239, doi: 10.1029/2022ef003239.
- Long. X., S.-I. Shin, and M. Newman, 2023: Statistical Downscaling of Seasonal Forecast of Sea Level Anomalies for US Coasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2022GL100271, doi: 10.1029/2022GL100271.
- Di Lorenzo, E., T. Xu, Y. Zhao, M. Newman, A. Capotondi, S. Stevenson, D.J. Amaya, B.T. Anderson, R. Ding, J.C. Furtado, Y. Joh, G. Liguori, J. Lou, A.J. Miller, G. Navarra, N. Schneider, D.J. Vimont, S. Wu, and H. Zhang, 2023: Modes and Mechanisms of Pacific Decadal-Scale Variability. Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 15, 249-275, doi: 10.1146/annurev-marine-040422-084555.
- Albers, J.R., M. Newman, A. Hoell, M. L. Breeden, Y. Wang, and J. Lou, 2022: The February 2021 Cold Air Outbreak in the United States: a Subseasonal Forecast of Opportunity. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E2887–E2904, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0266.1.
- Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi, S. Stevenson, E. DiLorenzo, and M. Alexander, 2022: An increase in marine heatwaves without significant changes in surface ocean temperature variability. Nat. Commun., 13, 7396, doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-34934-x.
- Carrillo, C., S. Coats, M. Newman, D. A. Herrera, X. Li, R. Moore, S.-I. Shin, S. Stevenson, F. Lehner, and T. R. Ault, 2022: Megadrought: a series of unfortunate La Niña events? J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 127, e2021JD036376, doi: 10.1029/2021JD036376.
- Breeden, M.L., J.R. Albers, A.H. Butler, and M. Newman, 2022: The spring minimum in subseasonal 2-meter temperature forecast skill over North America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 2617–2628.
- Hakim, G., C. Snyder, S. Penny, and M. Newman, 2022: Subseasonal Forecast Skill Improvement from Strongly Coupled Data Assimilation with a Linear Inverse Model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2022GL097996, doi: 10.1029/2022GL097996.
- Vimont, D. J., M. Newman, D. S. Battisti, and S.-I. Shin, 2022: The Role of Seasonality and the ENSO Mode in Central and East Pacific ENSO Growth and Evolution. J. Climate, 35, 3195–3209,, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0599.1.
- Jong, B.-T., M. Newman, and A. Hoell, 2022: Subseasonal Meteorological Drought Development over the Central United States during Spring. J. Climate, 35, 2525–2547, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0435.1.
- Capotondi, A., M. Newman, X. Tu, and E. DiLorenzo, 2022: An
Optimal Precursor of Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves and Central
Pacific El Niño events. Geophys. Res. Lett., e2021GL097350, doi: 10.1029/2021GL097350.
- Zhao, Y., M. Newman, A. Capotondi, and E. DiLorenzo, 2021: Removing the Effects of Tropical Dynamics from North Pacific Climate Variability. J. Climate, 34, 9249–9265, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0344.1.
- Powers, S., et al., 2021: Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: characteristics, causes, predictability and prospects. Science, 374, doi: 10.1126/science.aay9165.
- Shin, S.-I., and M. Newman, 2021: Seasonal Predictability of Global and North American Coastal Sea Surface Temperature and Height Anomalies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091886, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091886.
- Albers, J. R., and M. Newman, 2021: Subseasonal Predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Environ. Res. Lett., 16 044024.
- Zhang, L., G. Wang, M. Newman, and W. Han, 2021: Interannual to Decadal Variability of Tropical Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: Pacific Influence versus Local Internal Variability. J. Climate, 34, 2669-2684, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0807.1.
- Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi, and E. DiLorenzo, 2021: The Continuum of Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves and Their Relationship to the Tropical Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, 2020GL090661, doi: 10.1029/2020GL090661.
- Shin, S.-I., P. D. Sardeshmukh, M. Newman, C. Penland, and M. A. Alexander, 2021: Impact of Annual Cycle on ENSO Variability and Predictability. J. Climate, 34, 171-193. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0291.1.
- L'Heureux, M., A. Levine, M. Newman, C. Ganter, J.-J. Luo,
M. Tippett, and T. Stockdale, 2020: "Chapter
10: ENSO Prediction". AGU Monograph: El Niño-Southern Oscillation
(ENSO) in a Changing Climate, M. McPhaden, A. Santoso, W. Cai
(Eds.), Wiley, 506 pp.
- Kumar, S., M. Newman, D. M. Lawrence, M.-H. Lo, S. Akula,
C.-W. Len, B. Livneh, and D. Lombardozzi, 2020: The GLACE-Hydrology Experiment: Effects of Land-Atmosphere Coupling on Soil Moisture Variability and Drought Predictability. J. Climate, 33, 6511-6529, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0598.1.
- Henderson, S. A., D. J. Vimont, and M. Newman, 2020: The critical role of non-normality in partitioning tropical and extratropical contributions to PNA
growth. J. Climate, 33, 6273-6295, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0555.1.
- Mariotti, A., et al., 2020: Windows of Opportunity for Skillful
Forecasts S2S and Beyond. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E608–E625, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0326.1.
- Ding, H., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2020:
Relating CMIP5 model biases to seasonal forecast skill in the
tropical Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47,
e2019GL086765, doi: 10.1029/2019GL086765.
- Shin, J., S. Park, S.-I. Shin, M. Newman, and M. A. Alexander, 2020: Enhancing
ENSO Prediction Skill by combining Model-Analog and Linear Inverse
Models (MA-LIM). Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, early release, doi: 10.1029/2019GL085914.
- Breeden, M. L., B. T. Hoover, M. Newman, and D. J. Vimont, 2020: Optimal
North Pacific Blocking Precursors and Their Deterministic
Subseasonal Evolution during Boreal
Winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 739-761, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0273.1.
- Albers, J. R., and M. Newman, 2019: A
Priori Identification of Skillful Extratropical Subseasonal
Forecasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 12527-12536, doi:
10.1029/2019GL085270.
- Martinez-Villalobos, C., M. Newman, D. J. Vimont, C. Penland, and
J. D. Neelin, 2019: Observed
El Niño–La Niña Asymmetry in a Linear
Model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 9909-9919, doi: 10.1029/2019GL082922.
- Kumar, S., M. Newman, Y. Wang, and B. Livneh, 2019: Potential
reemergence of seasonal soil moisture anomalies in North
America. J. Climate, 32, 2707–2734, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0540.1.
- Ding, H., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2019:
Diagnosing secular variations in retrospective ENSO seasonal
forecast skill using CMIP5
model-analogs. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 1721-1730,
doi: 10.1029/2018GRL080598.
- Thomas, E. E., D. J. Vimont, M. Newman, C. Penland, and
C. Martinez-Villalobos, 2018: The
Role of Stochastic Forcing in Generating ENSO
Diversity. J. Climate, 31, 9125-9149, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0582.1.
- Ding, H., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2018:
Skillful climate forecasts of the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean using
model-analogs. J. Climate, 31, 5437-5459, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0661.1.
- Dole, R., J. R. Spackmann, M. Newman, et al., 2018:
Advancing Science and Services during the
2015-16 El Niño: The NOAA El Niño Rapid Response Field
Campaign. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 975-1001, doi:
10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0219.1.
- Martinez-Villalobos, C., D. J. Vimont, C. Penland, M. Newman, and
J. D. Neelin, 2018: Calculating
State Dependent Noise in a Linear Inverse Model
Framework. J. Atmos. Sci., 75, 479-496, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0235.
- Newman, M., A. T. Wittenberg, L. Cheng, G. P. Compo, and C. A. Smith,
2018: The
extreme 2015/16 El Niño, in the context of historical climate
variability and change [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2016
from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99
(1), S16–S20, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0116.1.
- Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh,
2017: Are we
near the predictability limit of tropical sea surface
temperatures? Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074088.
- Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, T. R. Ault, K. M. Cobb, C. Deser, E. Di Lorenzo, N. J. Mantua, A. J. Miller, S. Minobe, H. Nakamura, N. Schneider, D. J. Vimont, A. S. Phillips, J. D. Scott, and C. A. Smith, 2016: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited.
J. Climate, 29, 4399-4427., doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0508.1.
- Capotondi, A., A. T. Wittenberg, M. Newman, E. Di Lorenzo, J.-Y. Yu, P. Braconnot, J. Cole, B. Dewitte, B. Giese, E. Guilyardi, F.-F. Jin, K. Karnauskas, B. Kirtman, T. Lee, N. Schneider, Y. Xue, and S.-W. Yeh, 2015: Understanding ENSO diversity.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 921-938.
- Smirnov, D., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, Y.-O. Kwon, and C. Frankignoul, 2015: Investigating the local atmospheric response to a realistic shift in the Oyashio sea surface temperature front.
J. Climate, 28, 1126-1147.
- Vimont, D., M. A. Alexander, and M. Newman 2014: Optimal growth of Central and East Pacific ENSO events.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi: 10.1002/2014GL059997.
- Smirnov, D., M. Newman, and M. A. Alexander, 2014: Investigating the role of ocean-atmosphere coupling in the North Pacific Ocean.
J. Climate, 27, 592-606, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00123.1.
- Ault, T., C. Deser, M. Newman, and J. Emile-Geay, 2013: Characterizing decadal to centennial variability in the equatorial Pacific during the last millennium.
Geophys. Res. Lett, 40, 3450-3456, doi:10.1002/grl.50647.
- Newman, M., 2013: An empirical benchmark for decadal forecasts of global surface temperature anomalies.
J. Climate, 26, 5260-5269, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00590.1.
- Newman, M., 2013: Atmospheric science: Winds of change.
Nature Climate Change, 3, 538-539, doi:10.1038/nclimate1915. Note: News and Views, not peer reviewed, based on L'Heureux, M., Lee, S. & Lyon, B. Nature Clim. Change 3, 571-576 (2013).
- Goddard, L., and the US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2013: A verification framework for
Interannual-to-Decadal predictions experiments. Clim. Dyn., DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1481-2.
- Solomon, A., and M. Newman,
2012: Reconciling disparate 20th century Indo-Pacific ocean temperature trends in the instrumental record.
Nature Climate Change, 2, 691-699, doi:10.1038/nclimate1591.
- Newman, M., G. N. Kiladis, K. M. Weickmann, F. M. Ralph, and P. D. Sardeshmukh
2012: Relative contributions of synoptic and low-frequency eddies to time-mean atmospheric moisture transport, including the role of atmospheric rivers. J. Climate, 25, 7341-7361. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00665.1
- Newman, M., S.-I. Shin, and M. A. Alexander,
2011: Natural variation in ENSO flavors.
Geophys. Res. Lett., L14705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047658.
- Solomon, A., and M. Newman,
2011: Decadal predictability of tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean temperature trends due to anthropogenic forcing in a coupled climate model.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02703, doi:10.1029/2010GL045978.
- Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott,
2011: An empirical model of tropical ocean dynamics.
Climate Dynamics, 37, 1823-1841, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1034-0.
- Solomon, A., and the US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2011: Distinguishing the roles of natural and
anthropogenically forced decadal climate variability:
Implications for prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
92, 141-156, doi: 10.1175/2010BAMS2962.1.
- Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and C. Penland,
2009: How important is air-sea coupling in ENSO and MJO evolution?
J. Climate, 22, 2958-2977.
- Bladé, I., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott, 2008: The late fall extratropical response to ENSO: Sensitivity to coupling and convection in the Tropical West Pacific.
J. Climate, 21, 6101-6118.
- Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh,
2008: Tropical and stratospheric influences on extratropical
short-term climate variability. J. Climate, 21, 4326-4347.
- Sura, P.
and
M. Newman, 2008: The impact of rapid wind variability upon
air-sea thermal coupling. J. Climate, 21, 621-637.
- Newman, M., 2007: Interannual to decadal predictability of
Tropical and North Pacific sea surface temperatures.
J. Climate, 20, 2333-2356.
- Sura, P.,
M. Newman, and M. A. Alexander, 2006: Daily to decadal
sea surface temperature variability driven by state-dependent
stochastic heat fluxes.
J. Phys. Ocean., 36, 1940-1958.
Download an adobe acrobat version (pdf) of the paper. - Sura, P.,
M. Newman, C. Penland,
and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2005:
Multiplicative noise and non-Gaussianity: A paradigm for
atmospheric regimes? J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 1391-1409.
Download an adobe acrobat version (pdf) of the paper. - Lin, J., B. Mapes, M. Zhang, and M. Newman, 2004: Stratiform precipitation, vertical heating
profiles, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation.
J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 296-309.
- Newman, M., G. P. Compo, M. A. Alexander, 2003: ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. J. Climate, 16, 3853-3857.
- Sardeshmukh, P. D., C. Penland, and
M. Newman, 2003: Drift induced by multiplicative red noise with
application to climate. Europhysics Letters, 63, 498-504.
- Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh,
C. R. Winkler, and J. S. Whitaker, 2003: A study
of subseasonal predictability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1715-1732.
- Alexander, M. A., I. Bladé,
M. Newman, J. R. Lanzante, N.-C. Lau, and J. D. Scott, 2002: The atmospheric
bridge: the influence of ENSO teleconnections on air-sea
interaction over the global oceans.
J. Climate, 15, 2205-2231.
- Winkler, C. R., M. Newman, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2001: A
linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability. Part I:
Formulation and forecast skill.
J. Climate, 14, 4474-4494.
- Sardeshmukh, P. D., C. Penland, and
M. Newman, 2001: Rossby waves in a fluctuating
medium. In Stochastic Climate Models, ed. P. Imkeller and J.-S. von
Storch, Progress in Probability, Birkhaueser, Basel, pp. 369-384.
- Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, C. R. Winkler,
J. D. Scott, and J. J. Barsugli, 2000: A
linear diagnosis of the coupled extratropical
Ocean-Atmosphere system in the GFDL GCM.
Atmospheric Sciences Letters, 1, 14-25, doi:10.1006/asle.2000.0002.
- Hendon, H., B. Liebmann, M. Newman,
J.D. Glick, and J.E. Schemm, 2000: Medium range forecast
errors associated with active episodes of the Madden-Julian oscillation.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 68-86.
- Newman M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and
J. W. Bergman, 2000: An assessment
of the NCEP, NASA and ECMWF reanalyses over the Tropical West Pacific
warm pool. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 41-48.
- Chen, P. and M. Newman,
1998:
Rossby-wave propagation and the rapid development of upper-level
anomalous anticyclones during the 1988 U.S. drought.
J. Climate, 11, 2491-2504.
- Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh,
1998: The impact of the annual cycle on the North Pacific/North American
response to remote low frequency forcing. J. Atmos. Sci.,
55, 1336-1353.
- Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and C. Penland,
1997: Stochastic forcing of the wintertime extratropical flow.
J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 435-455.
- Sardeshmukh, P. D., M. Newman, and M. D. Borges,
1997: Free Barotropic Rossby wave dynamics of the wintertime low-frequency flow.
J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 5-23.
- Gierasch, P.J., et al., 1997:
The general circulation of the Venus atmosphere: An
assessment. In Venus II, ed. S. W. Bougher, D. M. Hunten, and
R. J. Phillips, The University of Arizona Press, Tucson, Az., pp. 459-500.
- Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 1995:
A caveat concerning Singular Value Decomposition. J. Climate,
8, 352-360.
- Newman, M. and J. Barsugli, 1993:
Quasilinear and nonlinear evolution of optimal initial perturbations
in barotropic flow. Ninth Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic
waves and Stability, San Antonio, Texas, 305-307.
- Newman, M. and C. Leovy, 1992:
Maintenance of strong rotational winds in Venus' middle atmosphere
by thermal tides. Science, 257, 647-650.
- Walterscheid, R. L., G. Schubert, M. Newman, and A. J. Kliore, 1985:
Zonal winds and the angular momentum balance of Venus' atmosphere within
and above the clouds. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 1982-1990.
- Newman, M., G. Schubert, A. J. Kliore, and I. R. Patel, 1984: Zonal winds in the middle atmosphere of Venus from Pioneer Venus radio occultation data. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 1901-1913.
Current research interests:
(Click on each item for information on that topic)
Examining the sensitivity of low frequency variability to the time of year
Extreme springtime weather events over North America and their relation to
remote sources of forcing
Applying stochastic forcing in models of low frequency variability